If someone asked you right now what your business is worth, you’d probably answer fast, and with total confidence. That number’s likely made its way into conversations with your banker, onto a personal financial statement, maybe even into a retirement plan your financial advisor put together.
Here’s the uncomfortable part: there’s a good chance that number is off by 50% or more.
That’s not a knock on you. It’s just that most owners have never had access to the information needed to value their business accurately. If your retirement plan is built on a made-up number, the whole plan is distorted.
Your Business Might Be Most of Your Net Worth
For many owners, the business isn’t just a major asset, perhaps 70% or 80% of everything they’ve built. Yet very few owners have ever had that number evaluated with a professional appraisal. Most are working off a guess, and after enough time, that guess starts to feel like fact.
Where That Number Usually Comes From (And Why It’s Wrong)
Ask most owners how they landed on their valuation, and you’ll hear one of three stories:
1. Someone at a conference sold a business “kind of like mine.” That’s hearsay, not data.
2. A public company in the industry got acquired, so they applied that multiple to their own revenue. Public company deals include a premium for liquidity and scale that a small private business doesn’t get.
3. They worked backward from what they needed to retire comfortably. That tells you what you want, not what a buyer will actually pay.
None of these is a real valuation. But once the number gets repeated to a banker or advisor a few times without pushback, it hardens into “fact” and it gets harder to question the longer you believe it.
What Buyers Are Actually Paying
If your business sells for under $2 million, your buyer is most likely an individual who plans to run it themselves and pay off the purchase with the business’s own cash flow. They’re pricing you off Seller’s Discretionary Earnings (SDE), your total financial benefit as owner, including salary, benefits, perks, and profit.
The going rate: 2 to 3 times SDE. Push much past 2.5x, and the math stops working for the buyer. They can’t service the debt and still pay themselves enough to make it worth it.
Bigger companies attract a different buyer entirely, private equity or strategic acquirers, who pay 4 to 7 times EBITDA. Different buyer pool, different financing, different expectations for what the business needs to look like.
Mixing these up by pricing off revenue instead of earnings or applying EBITDA multiples when you should be using SDE, anchoring to a number a competitor mentioned sets an expectation no real buyer will meet. That’s how deals fall apart, and how businesses sit unsold for years.
The Fix Is Simple: Get a Real Number
If your business is a major piece of your net worth, as it is for most owners, start your planning with a qualified business appraisal. Not a broker’s ballpark estimate pitched to win a listing. Not a multiple you saw in a trade article. An actual appraisal from a credentialed valuation professional who looks at your financials, your industry, your market, and your specific risk factors.
This appraisal will cost a few thousand dollars. For the asset that likely represents the bulk of your net worth, that’s a rounding error, and it’s the one number every other decision about your retirement, your exit, and your future should be built on.
Until you have it, every projection you’re working with is a best guess dressed up to look official.




As a business owner, you belong to a unique group that makes up only 3% of the population. Yet, many advisors treat you like any other client—using the same approaches they apply to executives, professionals, or retirees. This is a fundamental misunderstanding that can impact your business and personal goals.





Great post, John!
Good to see you’re still hanging in there.
How are things, old friend?
Tom